What’s ailing Chris Sale: Why Braves ace has struggled so far and why that probably won’t last all season

Chris Sale, National League leadership CY Young award winner, which turned another so, so began at the Tampa Bay Rays of Atlanta Brave Loss on Sunday. He coughed four runs (three of them earned) six hits and three walks with 4 ⅓ Innings. The braves lost 8-3 finals, descending them to 4-11 and reaffirming their status as one of the most disappointing clubs of the major.

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Matt Snyder:

Sales deserves the opening of the Atlanta season of sin. He has now handed over 14 to 25 hits. Moreover, it is that the sale on average starts with a 43 game rating. For comparison he had only one start (29 attempts) last year when he had a game unit below 43.

“I don’t know if I have ever been to this frustration, sincerely.” Sales told reporters, including MLB.com that after Sunday’s exitA number “I feel like I’m connecting my [freaking] The head is right against the wall right now, and I don’t get anything from it. “

Label one of the worst stretching stretches of bright career for sale is not an exaggeration. Be precisely. It is the ninth game of his career because he is judged by an average game score, according to Stathead. In addition, it is its third of the last five years. Although sales are unlikely to rest, knowing that he recovers from darker nights, deep diving in his game reveals that things will be revealed.

Let’s break it.

1. Although the loss of speed remains good

One of the most remarkable developments on Sunday sold at about 96 miles / hours on his four sewing funds. He previously preceded 93 km / sec (or there) in his first three this season. Put it all together and sales seasonal froard speed now 94.1 miles / sec, or 0.8 muscles where he was in 2024.

It is tempting that those decreas left for sale in a compromise arsenal, but it can’t really happen.

Baseball’s notice leads houses to the playing model called SufffproIn fact, it analyzes the inherent properties of the offer, with such speed and vertical and horizontal breaks, and defects a number that shows how good (or bad) the playing field is based solely on those features. Here’s how to sell Arsenal this year compared to the previous year (note that negative numbers are better).

Not making a victim of false accuracy does not make sense. Still those numbers are all very similar, three times three times better than they last. This includes a sales slide, the proposal that he is still located as his primary field.

Of course, many people will affect the sales results and the discrepancy between the above signs and the conclusion that the stuffing is meaningless. Don’t make that mistake. It is fair to wonder where the shutdown starts. There is a reason that this article contains many subheadings – But the past study indicates that StuckPro is more accurate to the future age than the past era, FIP and other measurements that tend to be in these situationsA number

Given, let’s move forward.

2: Control is also promising

In general, it is fair to assume that good materials, but returning bad results can deal with the problems of location. It does not seem to be sold.

To date, sales have created six strikes for each walk, better interest rates than he registered last season (5.77). He threw 68.7% of his grays for strikes, which will present the highest percentage of his career if he maintains it for the whole season. The sale also places its lands more than last season, despite the only percentage points here and there.

Each site meter, then the sale to the sale, is located in Par or better than before. Despite Toplin’s results, of course, they don’t mention much, some of the advanced events do. Its 30.3% white comparison is comparable to 31% of the previous year. And his 41.5% chase speed beats 33.3% of last year.

If you have access to the above data, you will think that sales have started another phenomenal from the season. So why isn’t he?

3. The quality of communication is so bad as it seems

If it’s not a congenital thing, the location of the pitch, or even the ability to cause whistle and persecution … then what does sales cause early progress.

The difference, at least quantitative, seems to be captured by the sale of sales.

Anyone who pays attention to everyday events in baseball will see recently about Philadelphia Phils, which is Slugger Kyle Schwarber Marking the highest speed of the exit against the face (116.7 mph)Add a number to Fernando Sama Jr. 112 miles / hours Middle Homer on the day of opening And it is true that sales have given certain missiles. These memorable moments are aside, the sale does not serve the practice floating there. Look.

The three chandeliers here are: Preliminary, sales allow you to get more difficult to communicate with the average than last season. The two, it allows you to communicate more in the air. And yet, three, he probably had failed to play balls, blowing his age to an unhappy degree.

They need evidence of that last paragraph. Let’s recycle part of the above table, only this time compare sales signs this season with the average of the high-quality starting pitcher league.

This shows that the quality of selling communication seems worse than its CY Young season, but that her outputs look good (or better) when compared to a pitcher.

If you have more anecdotal evidence, consider Sunday’s game aloneWhen Christopher Morel is sold by a sinking … But a blow and run, the same, on weak connection. Or when Coco Montes Threw a slider It missed the “good” right field for another weak, for launch. Or how about when José Caballero came down and Tap the slide to the center field for another weak hit.

You get the point, and it is noteworthy that three such incidents were available from one start.

None of that offered the sale only the victim of bad luck, nor does it guarantee that he will return to the snow that allowed him to win last season. What does it mean that there are many quantitative reasons to think that it will be good for a long time. Once this claim comes, it will not be the first time that he justifies such an analysis.