MLB Best Home Run Bets July 24

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/24:

These lines are moving to make your book the same price in your book.

TYLER SODERSTROM (ATH) +475, BETMGM

Soderstrom is usually a solid game against right hand pitchers according to the model, and it’s again. He hit his 18 house 17, this season is turned off. He collided with Jason Alexandri (pitcher, not George Kostanza), and he did not record the blow, including the speed of all three bats, including the speed of 110 miles / s. Although Alexander did not inspire adult this season to the major, he allows .988 against left handed strikes. We are placing the line of “Sodirtrom” in the hall, Homer.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) +525, BetMGM

Tatis surprisingly has not faced Sonny Gray in his career, but we see good longshot value here. Tatis is beyond due—he hasn’t homered in his last 10 games and has just one in his last 24. Despite the drought, he still has 16 home runs on the season, so the power is there. Gray gave up 8 earned runs in just 3.1 innings in his last start, and right-handed bats have a .276 average and .771 OPS against him this season. This could be a great spot for Tatis to break out. We set his line at +412 to homer.

José Altuve (HOU) +675, BetMGM

Altuve has seen Luis Severino plenty in his career, going 13-for-43 with 1 home run. He’s swinging a hot bat right now, with 4 multi-hit games in his last 7. Altuve has also been much better at home this season, hitting .316 with 10 home runs in 51 home games. The +675 line on BetMGM is excellent value, especially considering other books have him closer to +475. We set Altuve’s line at +550 to homer today.

Today’s MLB Prop Cheat Sheet

The SportsLine Model was developed and is powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of our team’s picks and content at our blog which has all our personal best bets for free. Our system is simple. We take the strongest SportLine Model projected values vs the best available prices at the time we publish our content. In most cases lines move in ‘our direction’ so you should bookmark the blog, follow us on social and make it a habit of checking for updates throughout the day to maximize your expected value. 

The table below shows today’s projected leading Home Run, Stolen Base and Strikeout Leaders. We include the projection and for HRs and SBs the money line we’d set for over 0.5 a HR/SB. You can use this cheat sheet to compare it to your book’s line and if your book’s line is significantly higher than ours (and you like the player) then you would want to consider that bet. For example, Soderstrom is a top play because our line is just +331 but you can get +475 at BetMGM.