Awards Watch: Shohei Ohtani hasn’t been the most valuable player in the NL, so why does the MVP race feel done

Atlanta – Why does it seem like the National League race is the most valuable player? Why are so many people think that this predicts that? Does it run the storyline? Star power.

Most people think that Shohei Ohtani is going to beat NL MVP. Just look at the disagreements through the project.

If you are buying these differences, the race is over, and it is not even worth discussing. And, hey, Ohtani would be a worthy winner. Given its bilateral operation, it is an easy argument that she is now the best baseball player.

Did he really be the most valuable player in the National League so far in 2025?

I’m doubtually a Gimme PCA right now.

Ohtani obviously is one of the best league offensive players. He won the MVP that deserved that before serving as a designated hit. This is how valuable he is in an insult. And this season in MVP discussions so far the process of thinking is that he takes that offensive value and brings back the pitching side.

At the moment, however, Ohtani has placed nine. That was the greatest in those nine places (1,00 era – 0.4 war), but how much value is actually stems from nine nine places in the 97 Dodgers games.

So we leave looking at DH – a great DH; Best in baseball. – Nine added image of pitching value. He heads the league running, house runs, bites and options.

But when Ohani was a full-time bilateral player, the arguments to win the MVP were correct, focused on his value, both during insult and prevention. The latter this season, again, consists of nine places of work.

Meanwhile, there is an argument that Pete Crow-Armstrong is the best baseball position, if we remove hitting. That is, looking just Baskining and protection, he can lead the charts well. He is only good to defend, seemingly more than half of the masculine. Ohtani is not playing protection. And while Ohani was the first last season, he had 12 steals this year, compared to the rave-Armstrong 27.

Let’s discuss hit. In particular, Ohtani is so much better at PCA to overcome the mass gap of protection / pitching and a modest bacterial gap. Let’s look at.

Ohtani. .276 / .382 / .605, 174 OPS +, 12 2B, 7 3B, 32 HR, 60 RBI
PCA: .265 / .302 / .544, 140 OPS +, 21 2B, 4 3B, 25 HR, 71 RBI

Ohtani is a better blow. It’s not actually on that issue. But is the gap really really huge? Because PCA is obviously better and provides significantly greater value than Ohani’s nine places.

It is difficult to try and calculate how everything adds to each other, but there is a number. Is a war. Now, yes, I am aware that war is polarizing. No one should ever use the fact that the player is clearly better for being a war-leading to something like 0.1. There is a boundary of error. However, the player’s value is an attempt to dig one value. Look at the story that tells here when it comes to Othanian against the PCA in 2025.

Fangraphs War:

PCA: 4.9
Ohtani. 4.3

Baseball Information War

PCA: 5.2
Ohtani. 4.3

The main option for both calculations is that they use defense measurements that explain the difference between the crow-armstrong. Independent, they are not actually within the bounds of mistakes.

What is the bottom line? Well, ohtani is a better hit, but PCA is the elite defender and the jackender and it’s not far away. The war says that PCA has been more valuable this season and do my eyes. So why does everyone think this is such a prediction?

It shouldn’t be. It should be a race. And I admit PCA now.